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我發現大饼現在的上漲邏輯有種被卡脖子的感覺。
舉個例子:
傳統機構第一天通過ETF買入大饼,因為買盤足夠所以大饼會漲。假設華爾街某基金的策略是98%傳統資產 + 2%的btc現貨。
那麼第二天,btc漲了之後,在基金策略裡的佔比從2%膨脹到了5%,觸發機構配置風控,造成被動拋售,btc下跌..於是比特幣會漲所以比特幣會跌😂
現在加密內部是以槓桿和衍生品來主導交易量,大饼漲了,多頭槓桿就增加,結果下方根本沒有真實的現貨買盤支撐,全是合約槓桿堆起來的,至少略微回調就觸發連環爆倉,緊接著又跌回原點,是不是這些原因造成了大饼反覆橫跳?