#btc

Just caught something interesting from Michael van de Poppe's latest take on Bitcoin. The guy's been pretty vocal about this moment being a lifetime accumulation opportunity, and honestly his reasoning is hard to dismiss. Here's the thing - van de Poppe breaks it down pretty clearly. Doesn't matter if it's market manipulation, gamma plays crushing options, or correlation with tech stocks. The underlying point is solid: Bitcoin's valuation right now is genuinely extreme. We're talking fewer than 5% of all trading days where BTC has been this cheap. Think about it. The last times we saw these levels? January 2019 at $3K during the bear market bottom. March 2020 when COVID crashed everything to $3.5K. December 2022 at $15K after the whole FTX implosion. So yeah, those were pretty significant moments if you had the conviction to buy. What's interesting is how van de Poppe keeps coming back to the same conversation with everyone - the banking system, the financial structure, money itself. It always circles back to Bitcoin. And he's making a point that price action doesn't determine fundamental importance. Just because it's fallen hard doesn't mean it keeps falling. Looking at the on-chain and technical metrics, van de Poppe highlights that Bitcoin's oversold condition is the worst since 2018. That was right before the multi-year bull run. He also notes something people often miss - when rebounds start, early moves get dismissed as fake rallies until the reversal becomes undeniable. Right now van de Poppe sees Bitcoin stuck in consolidation, calling it a waiting game before volatility expands. The asset's in a range, just compressing. That's exactly the kind of setup he'd be looking to buy into. Current BTC is sitting around $67.17K with a -2.45% dip in the last day, but the broader thesis about accumulation opportunities at these valuations? That's what traders like van de Poppe are actually focused on. Whether you agree or not, the historical precedent is pretty compelling.

Yesterday’s $BTC short idea (shared in Discord) played out exactly as planned. Clean mean reversion setup + solid order flow + confirmation from PA = decent setup. Closed today at 3R.