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看了$FOLKS这个项目的链上数据,核心问题就出在持仓结构上。项目方掌控了93.56%的代币,空投只占6.44%,这样的配置本身就有风险。
价格方面,项目方自己定价,一天涨跌幅度能到200%,看似很火爆,但背后的流动性大多来自被爆仓出场的资金,这点要注意。
我自己的教训是最有发言权的——看得不清楚就盲目开单,后来做空直接爆了,认了。关键问题在于这类项目涨起来根本没有阻力,上升很丝滑,但一旦想下车就下不来了。不管你加仓多快,回调机会都很少,最后要么被迫割肉,要么用极低的杠杆去赌。我觉得就算只用1倍杠杆,在这种流动性环境下也容易被爆掉。
做多做空还是要靠自己研究,但这个项目的风险结构值得警惕。