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美联储对GDP预测的重大更新:他们现在预计增长2.1%,而12月为1.4%,但这是由于通胀上升;
- 预计2024年底失业率为4.0%,前值为4.1%
- PCE通胀率维持在2.4%不变,与12月相同,但预计今年年底核心PCE通胀率为2.6%,而12月为2.4%
- 美联储还预计 2025 年(3.9% 对 12 月的 3.6%)和 2026 年(3.1% 对 12 月的 3.19%)降息幅度会减少
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