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Bitcoin is falling faster than any previous bear cycle and nobody is talking about it. Here's the data.
Every cycle, there's a moment on the monthly stochastic where the fast MA crosses below the slow MA while dropping out of the 80th percentile: the Bull Control Zone. This cross has confirmed the end of every single Bitcoin bull market. No exceptions.
It happened again in October and was a big reason I was stabled up before then. Now if we track the time from that cross to reaching the 44th percentile (where we sit right now) then we get the following:
2014: 579 days
2018: 243 days
2022: 395 days
2026: 151 days
This cycle's momentum is collapsing faster than anything we've seen in 12 years of Bitcoin data. That's why February was so violent - months of selling compressed into weeks. But faster decline doesn't mean faster recovery.
Every cycle, the bottom is followed by a re-accumulation range with months of sideways price action chop that breaks most people's patience and discipline. That range, not the bottom, is where generational positions are built.