2025-12-12 09:20:16

#美联储降息 Christmas season has always been a cyclical phenomenon that traders pay attention to. Looking back at the patterns of the past few years: there was a plunge during Christmas in 2019, but a rebound in 2020, followed by another dip in 2021. Then, the Christmas of 2022 continued the downward trend. But the turning point occurred in 2023—the Christmas holiday actually became the starting point of an upward movement, and this trend continued into 2024, with another rally.

The logic behind this is worth pondering. From a macro perspective, the Federal Reserve's policy stance has a profound impact on year-end market movements. The rate cut cycle often brings liquidity easing, institutional investors adjusting their positions before the end of the year, and retail investors' sentiment expectations—these factors intertwine.

So, how will $BTC Christmas 2025 unfold? This blank space is left for the market to fill. Historical patterns can only serve as a reference; what truly determines the trend are changes in fundamentals and the collective expectations of market participants.

BTC-1.88%

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CommunitySlacker

· 19h ago

Horseshit about historical patterns. This year, the Fed even stopped cutting interest rates, so that logic has long been outdated.

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TradFiRefugee

· 12-13 17:35

Historical patterns sound impressive, but in reality, it's just gambling on market sentiment. Who knows about 2025?

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SelfCustodyBro

· 12-12 09:49

Historical patterns seem to be predictable, but when it really comes to the crucial moment, they always prove us wrong. Who can say for sure how 2025 will unfold?

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hodl_therapist

· 12-12 09:47

Historical patterns get proven wrong every year, and you still believe in them? --- What will Christmas 2025 look like... who knows, anyway I am just HODLing, regardless of the ups and downs. --- It's that time of year again for the "Christmas Curse" discussion. We said the same thing last year at this time. --- Loose liquidity sounds good, but I’m just worried retail investors will be the ones taking the hit. --- The Fed’s rate cut cycle doesn’t count; the consensus in the crypto world is what matters. --- The patterns from the past five years have long been broken; now it’s all guesswork. --- Instead of researching Christmas market trends, it’s better to focus on the real changes in macro fundamentals.

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BearMarketMonk

· 12-12 09:45

Historical patterns are all rearview mirrors; no one can predict what will happen in 2025.

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ApeDegen

· 12-12 09:42

If you don't believe in historical patterns, trust your own intuition when placing orders Wait, was it all diving before 2023? I remember getting trapped and stuck Interest rate cuts are just a pretense; the key is how the big players move

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GasFeeCryer

· 12-12 09:41

It's the same old "history repeats itself" argument again, and I can't help but chuckle.

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POAPlectionist