Opinion: The US-Iran conflict is not the start of World War III; the dust will eventually settle.

On March 2nd, the renowned research organization The Kobeissi Letter stated that the US-Iran conflict will not be the start of World War III, and the market should ignore the current noise. Oil prices officially fell back below $70 per barrel, rising only 3.5% on the day the conflict broke out. S&P 500 futures declined by less than 1%, and gold only increased by over 2%. Market participants should remain calm; the dust will settle eventually. Peter Thiel’s US defense data analysis company Palantir, considered a villainous driver behind potential World War III, is also viewed as a core promoter and potential beneficiary of modern algorithmic warfare and AI warfare. Palantir executives have publicly discussed the risks of escalating global conflicts multiple times and have positioned Palantir’s technology as a key tool for winning large-scale wars. Palantir CEO Alex Karp publicly stated in 2024 that the US is “highly likely” to fight a three-front war against China, Russia, and Iran, emphasizing the need to accelerate the development of autonomous weapon systems to match opponents. Karp compared Palantir’s defense work to “this generation’s Manhattan Project.” The recent targeted killing of Qasem Soleimani is called the first fully AI-led high-level assassination operation in human history, with Palantir playing a central role as the battlefield brain—integrating massive data to help quickly identify, track, and locate high-value targets, optimizing the US military’s entire kill chain. Deep-reporting account 《动察 Beating》 under BlockBeats once published an article titled “Mass Producing Palantir, 58-Year-Old Peter Thiel Wants to Make War Profits,” providing a detailed introduction to the company.