Oxford Economics economist Riccardo Marcelli Fabiani pointed out in a report that, despite tense Middle East tensions and a rise in inflation in February, the risk of runaway inflation in the Eurozone is very low. The overall inflation rate in February increased from 1.7% in January to 1.9%, while core inflation rose from 2.2% to 2.4%. The economist stated that although the Iran conflict could push up energy prices, its impact on Eurozone inflation should not be overstated because oil supplies are gradually exceeding demand again, and energy has a relatively small weight in the overall consumer price index basket. He noted, “Limited upside for energy prices, while service sector inflation is rising month-on-month but overall slowing, coupled with very low prices for non-energy industrial goods, means the risk of inflation spiraling out of control has been ruled out.”
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Economist: The Overall Inflation Risks in the Eurozone Are Under Control
Oxford Economics economist Riccardo Marcelli Fabiani pointed out in a report that, despite tense Middle East tensions and a rise in inflation in February, the risk of runaway inflation in the Eurozone is very low. The overall inflation rate in February increased from 1.7% in January to 1.9%, while core inflation rose from 2.2% to 2.4%. The economist stated that although the Iran conflict could push up energy prices, its impact on Eurozone inflation should not be overstated because oil supplies are gradually exceeding demand again, and energy has a relatively small weight in the overall consumer price index basket. He noted, “Limited upside for energy prices, while service sector inflation is rising month-on-month but overall slowing, coupled with very low prices for non-energy industrial goods, means the risk of inflation spiraling out of control has been ruled out.”