Analysis: U.S. Treasury yields surge across the board, with the Federal Reserve's first rate cut expectation pushed back to September

CycleProphet · 2026-03-03T12:56:08+00:00

U.S. Treasury yields rise due to sell-off, as the conflict between the United States and Israel escalates, impacting the energy market. Investors are concerned about inflation and the costs of conflict, adjusting expectations for the Federal Reserve's rate cuts. The 10-year and 2-year U.S. Treasury yields rose to 4.051% and 3.485%, respectively.

CycleProphet

2026-03-03 12:56:08

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Deep Tide TechFlow News, March 3 — According to Jin10 Data, U.S. Treasury yields rose due to selling pressure, caused by ongoing conflicts between the U.S. and Israel bombing Iran, which disrupted energy markets and triggered a flight to safe assets. Despite the strengthening dollar, concerns over energy-driven inflation and the high costs of prolonged conflicts suppressed demand for U.S. government bonds. Marc Chandler of Bannockburn said, “This is the combined effect of position adjustments and inflation from rising oil prices.” He noted that investors are delaying their bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates from July to September. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield increased by 0.090 percentage points to 4.051%; the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 0.108 percentage points to 3.485%.

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