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[Red Envelope] Ma Qian Pao hits the bullseye precisely, and the pre-market plan blooms three times!
Since joining Taoguba, I initially intended to use my pen as a blade and stocks as a mirror to record the ups and downs and the quest for insights on the trading journey. Unexpectedly, with everyone’s support, each encouragement feels like a warm tonic, dispelling the confusion of short-term battles; each attention acts as a guiding pulse, strengthening my resolve to refine my system and stay true to my original practice. [Taoguba]
Xiaoyou deeply understands that short-term trading is like traditional Chinese medicine diagnosis—requiring the observation of “illness” amidst the fluctuations of rise and fall, and distinguishing “Yin and Yang.” Growth is not a solo journey—your recognition is the most precious “medicine” in my review logs, giving this methodology, based on TCM thinking to analyze the stock market, a more vibrant practical soil.
In the days ahead, I will continue to adhere to my “Four Diagnoses”: observing the market, listening to capital flows, questioning the logic, and cutting in and out of trades. I will truthfully record each diagnostic process, gains and losses, and hope to exchange insights with fellow investors, using stocks as a bridge to mutually verify and explore profitable paths.
Grateful for this encounter; the road ahead is long, and I walk it with you.
March 6, 2023,
7:58 AM,
Before the market opens,
Clear plans are well understood.
Yesterday, after a high sell-off, I re-entered Yunnan Energy Holdings on a pullback.
Many friends are concerned about this move,
Some think it was an intervention during the monitoring period and worry about it.
Others shared their understanding,
After seeing it,
I also shared and discussed.
Post-market review post,
I wrote about the logical reasoning behind the entry,
Looking back on Friday,
Thursday’s low buy was a precise operation!
At the start of the session, some friends asked for opinions on the overly confident Optoelectronics concept yesterday,
I shared my view,
And it proved prophetic!
Asked about the agriculture sector,
We also actively exchanged views.
Super short-term mainly depends on decisive actions at the open,
Friday is no different,
Timely recording and sharing during the session.
Xiaoyou diligently reviews every day,
With sincerity,
Hoping for recognition and encouragement from friends!
Xiaoyou’s diagnosis today (50%):
Yunnan Energy Holdings T+0, limit up;
Hanlan Co., Ltd., Zhuolang Intelligent, diverging entries, all limit up;
Late rally and pullback to buy low at zero, Huasheng Tiancai, big surge at the close;
------------------------
March 6, Xiaoyou’s Four Diagnoses
------------------------
1. Look: Observe the market atmosphere (distinguish major trend, identify strong and weak pulses)
1. Observe the big trend: judge the market’s “Qi and blood” status
Although the main index closed up 15.62 points, the trading volume shrank by 189.9 billion, a typical “volume-price divergence.” The market’s “Qi and blood” are insufficient, rebound is weak, short-term capital is reluctant to follow, and the money-making effect is undercurrent. The index is red, but internally weak, bulls lack confidence, bears are ready, and the market is in a fragile “weak equilibrium” phase.
2. Observe the strong and weak sector pulses: focus on the “core route” of “full Qi and blood”
Strong sectors:
Smart Grid:
Most vibrant, with Suna Co., Ltd. and Hanlan Co., Ltd. hitting three consecutive limit-ups in three days; Jinkai New Energy hit 6 days of 3 limit-ups; the sector is well-structured, with deep capital support, and is the current “main backbone.”
Computing Power / Computing and Electricity Collaboration:
Zhuolang Intelligent hit 3 days of 3 limit-ups; Taijia Co., Ltd. led with 10 days of 5 limit-ups; Meili Yun hit two consecutive limit-ups, with continued capital inflow driven by news, representing “vigorous fire.”
Chemical Industry:
Driven by rising prices, Jinniu Chemical surged 15 days with 7 limit-ups; Chitianhua hit 8 days of 3 limit-ups; the sector experienced a surge in limit-ups, indicating a burst of “Qi and blood” explosion.
Weak sectors:
High-level space stocks:
No stocks with more than 4 limit-ups, indicating the market’s fear of heights, capital hesitant to expand space, showing “Qi and blood” flow is blocked.
2. Hear: Listen to the market voice (explore policy and industry resonance, observe capital movements)
1. Hear policy and industry resonance:
Strongest resonance:
Smart Grid (integrated into government work report), Computing Power (collaborative with electricity), Chemical Industry (price surge), Pharmaceuticals (listed as pillar industries). The “wind” of policies and the “rain” of industries jointly boost today’s sector heat, especially the combination of “electricity” and “computing power,” which aligns with national strategies as the “main channel.”
2. Hear capital footsteps:
Limit-up capital: cautious and selective. The 1-to-2 upgrade rate is only 7%, indicating low trust in the new cycle start; the 2-to-3 upgrade rate is 57%, showing willingness to gamble on mid-cap stocks, but divergence remains.
Sealing capital: prefers “core” and “news.” Strongly supports core leaders in smart grid and computing power, but less willing to follow in trailing stocks, leading to a 25.25% break rate today.
Divergent capital: mainly focused on cashing out yesterday’s high-flying stocks, resulting in low average gains today, indicating low market tolerance and a “profit and run” mentality.
3. Question: Reflect on one’s own doubts (review holdings, examine logic)
1. Question about holding logic: assess the “Qi and blood” quality of stocks
Yunnan Energy Holdings:
Logic explained, executed as planned.
Hanlan Co., Ltd., Zhuolang Intelligent:
Hanlan belongs to smart grid; Zhuolang to computing power;
Today, divergence led to proactive opposite-side entries.
Judgment logic continues: “seize the opportunity,” catching the return points.
Huasheng Tiancai:
AI/Computing line, low buy at the close, betting on the recovery of the computing sector tomorrow. Need to observe sector rotation tomorrow; if no big rally, should exit promptly.
4. Pulse: Diagnose operational rhythm (set strategies, plan entries and exits)
1. Overall market trend and sector outlook for tomorrow
Market forecast:
Shrinking volume rebound is unsustainable; tomorrow likely faces a direction choice. If early trading cannot quickly increase volume (monitor if it returns above 2.5 trillion), the index may retest the 4100 point level for support.
Sector forecast:
Smart Grid and AI computing: still the “twin stars” of the market, with deep capital involvement; even if there’s adjustment tomorrow, it’s a low-buy opportunity.
Biotech and pharmaceuticals: stimulated by news, but sustainability is doubtful; continued observation needed.
2. Preparation and trading principles for tomorrow
Preparation:
Focus on the opportunity for the weak to turn strong in smart grid, and low buy in core computing stocks. If the chemical sector diverges and then reflows, watch for the weak-to-strong shift in leading stocks.
Avoid: chasing high-volume momentum stocks; blindly holding large positions to gamble on a one-sided index rise. Remember, “if volume doesn’t increase, don’t increase positions.”
Short-term trading requires cultivating the mind.
Don’t let daily ups and downs disturb your mind; instead, see through the phenomena to the essence, understanding the market’s “Qi and blood” flow.
When you can calmly handle market fluctuations, dare to buy low amid divergence, and dare to sell in consensus, you are in control of the “market” rather than being controlled by it.
The greatest opportunity is in places no one pays attention to;
The greatest risk is when everyone is loud.
Let capital become an extension of your will!
Wishing everyone’s Qi and blood flow smoothly, and their accounts shine long and bright!
Thanks to brothers and sisters of “Golden Powder World,” for understanding and supporting Xiaoyou through storms and sunshine.
Xiaoyou has now re-followed, balancing fishing and fishing.
Looking forward to more exchanges and mutual progress, towards freedom!
Thanks to everyone for your likes and recognition—helping others also enriches your own blessings;
Thanks for your generous tips!
Special thanks to:
@Shunshi Erli 1126
@Mikelang Geli
for your generous encouragement.
@Xiangzhang Wang @God’s Popcorn
@008 Wind @Silent Water Without Sand
@Ms. Xiao @Sister Xiao Si
@Wenxi @God’s Popcorn
@Xiangzhang Wang @Zhuangzhuang
@008 Wind @Don’t Understand Octopus
@Liver Superhero @feel8848
@Wenxi @Xiangzhang Wang
@Tianxing Youchang Bu Wei Yao, Zhi Cun Bu Zong, Bo Wei Zhou Wang
@Let Dreams Sprout Quietly @Mikelang Geli
@Silent Water Without Sand @Mu Fan Brother
@Sister Xiao Si @Uncle Loves You
@God’s Popcorn @Xiangzhang Wang
@Silent Water Without Sand @Shark Brother’s Practical Logic
@SnowPeakL @597 Points 9
@Wanshan Piancheng @Shunshi Erli 1126 @Ms. Xiao
People who are willing to give to others will surely receive abundant and overflowing blessings!
Thanks for your encouragement!
@Wenxi @God’s Popcorn
@Silent Water Without Sand @feel8848
@Don’t Understand Octopus @Shark Mom
@Liver Superhero @I Am Watermelon
@Wenxi @Shark Brother’s Practical Logic
Cheering for others will surely make your path blossom and become more wonderful!