XRP cryptocurrency has the potential to surge sharply toward the $4 target, currently at a key price formation point

Ripple (XRP) cryptocurrency is trading around $1.51 as of March 2026 and is facing a critical technical divergence. Although it has risen +5.22% over the past 7 days, the -0.13% decline in the last 24 hours suggests that the price is at a decisive juncture. According to multi-timeframe analysis, future price movements are likely to depend on structural factors that could either push the price toward the $4.00 range or lead to a deeper correction.

Daily Chart Analysis of XRP: $1.30 as a Short-Term Price Decision Point

In recent daily chart developments, XRP has been trading within a range of $1.30 to $1.50. This level is just below a descending resistance line formed since late 2025, which continues to cap upward movement.

Market analysis indicates that the current price structure suggests a complex pattern with multiple support and resistance levels layered together. The $1.30 level functions as a recent demand zone, and falling below it could expose a liquidity pocket around $1.07. Further down, an additional demand zone is located near $0.90.

On the upside, the $2.30 zone is the initial target for a short-term breakout test. Breaking above this level could lead to resistance levels at $2.75 and then $3.15 in stages. However, for this scenario to materialize, not only must the price increase, but a significant increase in trading volume is required to validate the structural breakout.

Currently, the price formation shows a defensive reaction, with limited bullish pressure capable of breaking the descending resistance line. If support at $1.30 fails to hold, there is a risk of more severe declines. Conversely, if stability above $1.30 is confirmed, it could set the stage for a short-term upward attempt.

Long-Term XRP Price Scenario from Monthly Chart

Examining the macro structure on the monthly chart reveals that XRP’s price trend remains within a longer-term upward trend framework. The upward trendline established since 2020 continues to play a dominant role in determining market direction.

The pattern of highs and lows suggests long-term structural strength. Recently, the $1.60 zone has served as a support in the intermediate range, and breaking above it could open the path toward new cycle highs. The key horizontal resistance level is around $3.32, where the price has repeatedly been rejected during the 2025 rally. Regaining this level is likely to be the starting point for the next upward extension.

On a macro monthly basis, the support around $0.90 acts as an upward trendline. If this support is broken, the pattern of highs and lows could become invalid, increasing the risk of a shift toward a bearish long-term bias. Conversely, as long as XRP’s price remains above this support, the structural integrity remains intact, supporting a bullish scenario.

The monthly chart shows a range-bound formation, which should be interpreted not as a loss of direction but as a cyclical re-accumulation process. The price remains within a defined macro framework, preparing for the next expansion phase.

Expansion Pattern Leading Cryptocurrency Price Toward the $4 Zone

Analyzing the expansion formation on the monthly chart shows that XRP’s price is characterized by a unique pattern of increasing amplitude over multiple cycles. Such patterns typically originate from an accumulation phase preceding impulsive expansion. Recent XRP price action has retraced toward a rounded base zone, consistent with this accumulation structure.

Chart analysis indicates that after an attempted breakout toward the $4.00 zone, a corrective retracement occurred. The price retreated to around $1.40 but avoided a structural breakdown. This movement should be viewed as a normal correction within the expansion formation.

Market data suggests the potential for price movement to resume toward the upper boundary of the expansion pattern. Historically, extended sideways consolidation at support levels has been followed by expansion phases. If stability above $1.20 is confirmed, this continuation scenario gains support.

However, if the upward structural support is lost, the entire expansion pattern framework could be compromised. This would invalidate the highs and lows pattern and require a reassessment of the overall analysis. Currently, XRP remains in a macro environment that, despite increased volatility, is generally positive.

For traders, the critical zone is the $1.30 to $1.50 range, which is the current testing ground for multiple scenarios. The price action here will determine whether the market supports a move toward the $4 target or signals a deeper correction.