4/21 “Er Bing” Midday Analysis

✅ Buy the dip (longs): Enter in batches in the 2300-2308 range; target 2320-2323; stop loss 2290
⚠️ Short-term short (short-term gamble): When price touches the middle band pressure in the 2323-2328 range, lightly try a short; target 2305-2300; stop loss 2335
4-hour cycle
Bollinger Band structure
• Current price: Running below the middle band; the middle band is the current key strong resistance level
• Channel status: The channel is still opening upward, indicating that the higher-timeframe bullish trend has not been broken; this is currently in a pullback confirmation phase after an upward move
• Key levels:
◦ Upper resistance: Middle band 2323 → Upper band 2382 → Previous high 2463.86
◦ Lower support: Previous consolidation range 2300 → Lower band 2264 (strong support, the trend lifeline)
Indicator signals
• MACD: DIF (7.21) continues moving upward, approaching the DEA (-6.43); the MACD value turns positive from negative; the red histogram continues to shrink; bearish momentum has completely exhausted—bulls are brewing a rebound, which is a typical “repair after a pullback
1-hour cycle
1. Bollinger Band structure
• Current price: Moving tightly along the middle band; the channel is flattening, entering a narrow-range consolidation
• Key levels:
◦ Upper resistance: Upper band 2335 → Previous high 2350
◦ Lower support: Lower band 2294 → The 2300 integer level
2. Indicator signals
• MACD: DIF (2.11) sticking above DEA (2.45); MACD value 0.67; the red histogram is shrinking—about to complete a golden cross; the bullish momentum for the wave is being repaired
• KDJ: K line 52.98, D line 46.10, J line 66.74; all three lines turn upward; there is a rebound need
Wave conclusion
The wave is in a repair stage with a tendency toward strength. The 2294-2300 area is a strong support zone. As long as it does not effectively break down below that level, the wave’s bullish structure remains intact. The rebound target is the upper band pressure level at 2335.
15-minute cycle
1. Bollinger Band structure
• Current price: Narrow-range oscillation above the middle band; the channel is tightening, indicating an imminent trend change
2. Indicator signals
• MACD: DIF (0.98) above DEA (0.45); MACD value 1.05; the green histogram is shrinking—short-term bullish momentum is weakening, and there is a need to pull back to confirm support
• KDJ: K line 47.40, D line 51.22, J line 39.74; all three lines form a dead cross downward; short-term is weak—need a pullback to support before rebounding again
3. Short-term conclusion
Short-term is in a consolidation stage that is relatively weak. It is expected to first pull back to the 2304-2310 support zone; after stabilizing, it can rebound to test the 2320-2323 pressure level. Do not chase the price up.
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