Right now, neither the US stock market nor crypto has finished falling yet. I want to set up a medium- to long-term position in spot holdings, so I’m going to wait patiently for a while. Don’t say “the bull is here” just because there’s been a tiny rebound, and don’t be afraid of missing out and rush in. Put away your “newbie investor/rookie” thinking. Let’s summarize this rebound: the shorts are crowded. Everyone is bearish. When the number of shorts grows sharply, you’ll see an effect—prices won’t be able to fall anymore. Yellow-haired guy does a quick “taco” and the market starts rebounding. As soon as geopolitical tensions ease, prices surge upward. Previously profitable shorts need to take profits and buy back in order to close, and when prices rise, shorts get liquidated. Then at this point, you’ll see more forced buying—passive buying from forced liquidations. So a rebound is normal: blast a wave of shorts, and tempt in a wave of longs. By combining what’s happening on the news front with the geopolitical situation, the market achieves a double liquidation/“double profit” outcome for both sides—and that’s the real goal. Only by pushing higher can you clear the shorts completely, and only then will the subsequent drop be smoother. So what we need is to wait for another big sell-off, and then we can split our orders to build spot positions and bottom-fish. $BTC

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