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BTC approaches a key resistance zone! 78,000 is just the appetizer; the main players' real target might be here!
As of April 23rd, Bitcoin (BTC) is priced at 78,208 USDT. From an overall structure perspective, Bitcoin has completed a phased bottoming near 60,000 and has begun a mid-term rebound rally. The current price is operating near the key resistance zone of the rebound phase, and both bulls and bears are about to face a new directional choice.
Below, we will conduct a complete analysis from the daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour timeframes.
From the daily chart structure, this rally can be divided into three stages:
First Stage: Toping out at high levels and then declining
BTC reached a peak near 97,924 in the previous phase before entering a mid-term correction, followed by continuous decline, forming a phased low around $60,000.
This area also features:
Previous high-volume trading zones
Psychological round-number levels
Long-term capital accumulation zones
Therefore, a strong support structure has formed.
Second Stage: Bottom oscillation and accumulation
Between 60,000 and 68,000, BTC has been trading sideways for nearly over a month.
From the candlestick structure:
Multiple dips without breaking below 60,000
Low points gradually rising
Trading volume gradually converging
This is a typical main force sideways accumulation pattern.
Third Stage: Trend reversal and upward movement
Since April, Bitcoin has shown a pattern of continuously raising lows:
This indicates the market has shifted from a bearish trend to a bullish trend.
Currently, the price is approaching the 78,000 resistance zone.
From the 4-hour candlestick chart, BTC is currently within a standard upward channel.
It can be seen that the highs and lows are rising in sync, indicating a healthy trend.
Two other important technical signals:
MA20 trending upward
MA60 trending upward
MA120 beginning to turn
This is a typical bullish trend structure.
Recent retracements:
First retracement: 8%
Second retracement: 5%
Third retracement: 3%
This shows selling pressure is decreasing, and bullish control is strengthening.
From the 1-hour perspective, BTC is currently in a small upward flag consolidation.
Features are very clear:
Uptrend → sideways consolidation
Uptrend → sideways consolidation
This is a typical trend continuation pattern.
The market currently has two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Breakout directly
If 78,000 is broken with volume:
Short-term targets:
80,000
82,000
Scenario 2: Pullback to gather strength
If a short-term retracement occurs:
Pullback zones:
77,000
76,000
As long as 76,000 is not broken, it remains a healthy pullback.
Today’s trading strategy (April 23rd)
Direction: Long position
Entry price: 78,208
First target: 77,034
Second target: 75,856
Stop-loss: 79,771