In the past few days, I've seen people directly infer "about to take off" just because "stablecoin supply increased / ETFs are inflowing funds," but honestly, correlation does not equal causation.


An increase in stablecoins might just mean they are parked off-chain waiting for opportunities, or it could be market making, arbitrage, or even a bunch of people moving funds from other chains to settle temporarily;
On the ETF side, it’s more like slowly changing the capital structure, which may not be synchronized with the few candlesticks on your and my charts.

Recently, hardware wallets are still out of stock, phishing links are also rampant, and the more lively it gets, the easier it is to run into issues.
I personally prefer to take an extra cautious step: every time I transfer a large amount, I first try a small amount, then double-check the first and last few digits of the address.
It’s a hassle, but it’s much better than relying on the "immutable on-chain" after the fact…
Anyway, being more cautious helps me sleep better.
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