Recently, many people are worried that the Iran-U.S. conflict may escalate again, mainly because negotiations have stalled, and yesterday both the U.S. and Chinese embassies issued notices urging their citizens to evacuate Iran.



But my view remains unchanged: the U.S. has finally escaped the quagmire of the Middle East and is unlikely to fall back into war easily. Considering the current ruling party's style of conduct, the possibility of initiating war proactively is very low. If they were truly going to use force, they would have acted during previous deterrence moments, rather than remaining in a state of stalemate and observation.

In essence, all tough statements from various parties are aimed at increasing bargaining chips in negotiations.

Just relax and enjoy the weekend without overanxiety. With the May Day holiday approaching next week, the market is inevitably showing holiday sentiment. Currently, the main market is in a high-level strong oscillation pattern, and the best profit window for this month has already passed. The high-level range combined with the holiday effect means subsequent fluctuations will become normal; stabilizing now without losing is the best outcome.

The market rhythm has always had its focus: March's emotional lows are the planting season for low-position investments; April's rebound is the window for harvesting profits; and right now, patience and waiting for the next opportunity are needed.

Follow the trend, get the rhythm right, plant, harvest, and wait-and-see—each at the right time. #加密市场行情震荡
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