Will oil prices hit 150? The key isn't whether they will, but "how long they can sustain it"

The market loves to talk about extreme scenarios:
The Hormuz Strait blockade = oil prices soaring.
But the real critical issue is:
Duration.
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most sensitive energy corridors in the world, and also an area with the densest military presence.
What does this mean?
You can create conflicts, but it's very difficult to control them long-term.
A more realistic scenario is:
✔ Short-term disruption of transportation
✔ Instant spike in oil prices
✔ Then gradual recovery
Oil prices may surge, but it's hard to sustain extreme levels over the long run.
In one sentence:
The market is betting on "risk," not "actual supply disruption."
#加密市场行情震荡