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These days, someone says "the bull is coming" just because stablecoin supplies have increased and ETFs are inflowing money. It gives me a bit of PTSD... Correlation is the biggest liar; honestly, off-chain funds might just be moving, hedging, or even preparing to dump, not every transaction is coming to lift you up. Airdrop season is the same; task platforms are becoming more and more strict with anti-witch measures, points systems turn the grubbing party into clocking in at work, on-chain data looks lively but is mostly "transfers for points."
What I fear most isn't losing money, but losing control—like when you get overexcited and forget your stop-loss discipline. Anyway, I stick to small positions based on volatility, sell when triggered, and if I lose, I just turn off Twitter and go for a run—don’t fall in love with the data.