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This Hormuz Strait control plan disclosed by Iran is a super black swan-level variable for the global energy + financial markets! As Iran tightens its control of the strait, geopolitical risk premiums in the Middle East rise, and global energy and macroeconomic uncertainty surge.
Geopolitics pushes up oil prices and inflation stickiness; expectations for the Fed to cut rates this year are further revised downward; and U.S. Treasury yields strengthen, collectively suppressing the valuation center of crypto risk assets.
Short-term market volatility quickly rises, BTC/ETH enters a high-volatility range, and the risk of both upside and downside “double explosions” in altcoins and futures positions increases sharply, temporarily putting a hold on one-way trend market moves.
Trading strategy: strictly control position size, reduce leverage, and avoid the risk of sudden news “pinpricks”; use light positions to play the range, and wait for the core allocation to accumulate in batches after panic selling fully clears; prioritize allocating to large-cap mainstream assets and avoid small-cap targets with high volatility.
$BTC $GT $ETH
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#美军涉马杜罗押注事件