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1. Current Price and Market Surface (17:00)
- Price: 77,474 USDT, 24h -0.12%, slight correction over 72h (-0.58%).
- Volume: Trading volume continues to shrink, trading is light, lacking directional momentum.
- Sentiment: Large net outflow of transactions, short-term bearish; spot ETF still has net inflow, institutional medium- and long-term attitude remains unchanged.
2. Key Levels (Intraday)
- Resistance: 78,500 (short-term strong resistance), 80,000 (psychological + concentrated chip area).
- Support: 76,500–77,000 (short-term vital support), 75,500 (strong support).
3. Technical Signals
- Short-term (hourly/4-hour): Divergence at high levels, momentum weakening, MACD weakening, KDJ death cross, high probability of oscillation and correction.
- Medium-term (daily): Uptrend channel not broken, key support not effectively breached, bullish trend continues.
4. Trading Strategy
- Intraday: Wait and see, do not chase highs; if rebound stalls at 78,000–78,500, consider light short positions with stop-loss above 78,800.
- Medium-term: Wait for a pullback to stabilize at 76,000–76,500 before low buying; if volume increases and breaks below 75,500, turn weak and observe.