An American special forces soldier, holding confidential intelligence about a surprise assault on Venezuela, then turns around and goes all-in on Polymarket with $400,000 to bet that Maduro is arrested.

This isn’t a *House of Cards* script—it’s a real case the Department of Justice has just charged.
Trump’s response is even more extreme: he puts his money on himself to win—what’s the problem?
When insider trading gets reduced by the president to baseball betting, prediction markets have become a massive political money-laundering or cash-out black hole.