#美伊谈判陷入僵局 After the Iran-U.S. war ended, who is the biggest winner? The battlefield was a mess, but someone was lying back and winning!

#美伊谈判陷入僵局 After the Iran-U.S. war ended, who is the biggest winner? The battlefield was a mess, but someone was lying back and winning!

The smoke of war has cleared, and the 39-day hot conflict between the U.S. and Iran finally came to a halt.

The United States claims victory, having bombed nuclear facilities and taken out high-level officials; Iran also claims victory, having held onto its regime and fought to the end.

But ordinary people, don’t be fooled by the rhetoric of “mutual win”—the true winners are never fighting on the front lines, only counting money, grabbing dividends, and watching the show from the sidelines.

Today, let’s break down in plain language: who secretly enjoys, who ends up crying in the bathroom in this chaotic war?

1. The strongest “Old Six” on the surface: the U.S. military-industrial complex, raking in cash until their hands cramp

The most direct and most profit-rich winner, bar none, is the U.S. military-industrial complex—Lockheed Martin, Raytheon, Boeing, these “war profiteers.”

Think about it, war is like throwing a party, and they are the only ones selling “drinks and snacks”—there’s no other store:

Missiles, bombs, drones—when stock runs out? Congress immediately approves hundreds of billions in military spending for replenishment, orders are booked three years ahead, and stock prices hit daily limits;

After bombing Iran, Middle Eastern countries are terrified, lining up to buy weapons from Saudi Arabia and the UAE, monopolizing the high-end military market;

Even more incredible, U.S. politicians secretly buy military stocks before the war, sell at high points afterward, and 37 lawmakers make over a billion dollars from the war—treating war like a stock trading game.

In one sentence: the battlefield belongs to others, the money is theirs; the more intense the firepower, the crazier they earn. This wave, the military-industrial complex wins big.

2. The ultimate “lying flat” winner: Russia, collecting rent and easing pressure

If the military-industrial complex is about “making quick money,” then Russia is the ultimate winner, quietly making a fortune and strategically picking up big gains—an international “high-end Old Six.”

They didn’t participate in the war at all but took all the benefits, operating more calmly than the onlookers:

Energy profits: As soon as the U.S. and Iran started fighting, the Strait of Hormuz was blocked, and oil prices soared from $70 to $120. Russia, as a major oil and gas supplier, earns billions every time oil rises by $1, and Western sanctions’ pressure is instantly halved, boosting their economy;

Strategic relaxation: With hundreds of thousands of troops and hundreds of billions spent in the Middle East, the U.S. has no energy left to manage Eastern Europe or expand NATO, so Russia’s pressure near its borders drops to zero—do whatever they want;

Middle East return: Russia openly supports Iran, sells weapons, and cooperates on energy, re-establishing itself as a key Middle Eastern player after decades, with influence even stronger than during the Soviet era.

While others are battered and exhausted, Russia is “drinking tea, selling oil, expanding influence,” with zero casualties and zero losses from start to finish, reaping huge dividends. That’s true “lying flat.”

3. The “hard nut” of a Pyrrhic victory: Iran, winning dignity but losing its foundation

Is Iran a winner? Yes, but a “bitter victory”—they gained face and dignity but lost their resources and livelihood.

Holding out for 39 days without being overthrown by the U.S. is impressive:

Regime preserved: Although there were casualties among top leaders, the regime remains intact, national cohesion is at its peak, and their voice in the Middle East is stronger;

Oil price benefits: With the Strait of Hormuz under control, oil prices rise, earning foreign exchange and collecting “toll fees,” bringing in hundreds of billions annually;

Shia camp united: Iraq, Syria, Lebanon’s Hezbollah all stand with Iran, making the Shia influence in the Middle East unprecedentedly strong.

But the costs are brutal: cities bombed, factories destroyed, economy collapsing, inflation soaring, over 20k casualties, and civilians displaced.

One sentence: Iran won the war but lost their lives; they preserved dignity but shattered their homeland.

4. Surface victory, blood loss in reality: the U.S. government, tactical points scored, strategic defeat

The U.S. appears to be the “winner on the surface,” looking impressive, but in reality, they are losing to their core—classic “won the battle but lost the war.”

Tactically, bombing nuclear facilities and killing Iranian officials seem formidable; but strategically, it’s all a trap:

Money burned: Over a trillion dollars spent in 39 days, national debt soared, inflation skyrocketed, economic pressure exploded, taxpayers’ money went down the drain;

Hegemony weakened: The Iran strike didn’t subdue Iran but instead alienated Middle Eastern allies (Saudi Arabia, UAE), shaking the foundation of petrodollar dominance, and diminishing global influence;

Getting stuck in the mud: They didn’t crush Iran completely but fell into a prolonged drain, with military and financial resources tightly constrained—no longer the superpower that can “hit whoever they want.”

The U.S. government: lost face, lost substance; won the present, lost the future. Blood loss, huge losses.

5. The biggest losers: Iranian civilians + ordinary Middle Eastern people, no winners in the fire

Finally, the most tragic losers are the ordinary Iranian people and innocent civilians across the Middle East.

Homes destroyed, loved ones injured or killed, prices soaring, no food, no water—the bitter fruits of war borne by ordinary folks.

And the entire Middle East: sectarian conflicts intensify, proxy wars continue, shipping is blocked, economies collapse—decades of development wiped out in a single war.

Conclusion: War has no winners, only losers of varying degrees

The Iran-U.S. war may seem like a duel between two countries, but in reality, it’s a battle of interests, a carnival of capital, and a disaster for ordinary people.

The military-industrial complex made money, Russia reaped dividends, China gained time, Iran hardened its stance, the U.S. lost the future, and the civilians—lost everything.

Finally, I wish for a world without war, for ordinary people to live peacefully, without paying for war or shedding tears over smoke and flames.