Crypto Macro News and Global Policy Updates

In 2026, the private credit market faces liquidity pressure. Investor redemption demand is high, but actual settlement falls short of half, and multiple institutions have initiated redemption restrictions. Market tension and sentiment worsen, default rates hit a record high, and problems with asset structure are pronounced. Blockchain attempts have failed to improve liquidity, and macro pressures have struck borrowers. Overall, private credit could become a source of systemic risk.

Gate News message. April 3, according to Solid Intel, Turkey sold about 120 tons of gold within three weeks, worth up to $20 billion, to support its legal tender lira. Of that, it sold about 70 tons of gold last week.

In 2026, the asset composition of U.S. residents saw a significant shift. The proportion of stock market–linked assets rose to a record high, and household wealth became increasingly dependent on the capital markets. However, as the market environment changed, major stock indexes generally weakened, geopolitical tensions intensified market volatility, and consumer spending may be affected, thereby weighing on economic growth. Future trends will require monitoring the market’s ability to absorb adjustments and the impact of external shocks.

Mastercard will launch a cryptocurrency partner program in 2026, partnering with 85 companies to advance the integration of blockchain and traditional finance. Aptos becomes a core partner, aiming to improve the usability of payment scenarios; in the future, users will enjoy a “frictionless blockchain” experience. At the same time, this collaboration strengthens institutions’ positioning in digital assets, but it also faces challenges related to privacy and decentralization.

In 2026, the U.S. job market faces serious challenges: government job openings and the hiring rate have fallen significantly, layoffs in the private sector continue, and leading indicators suggest a bleak employment outlook. The market is focused on the upcoming jobs report to gauge the direction of the economy.

In April 2026, Trump admitted that strikes had been launched against Iranian infrastructure, causing market sentiment to weaken and pulling the price of Bitcoin back to $66,300. Rising geopolitical risk caused financial markets to diverge; Asian stocks rebounded, while crypto assets came under pressure. If the situation deteriorates, Bitcoin’s support level at $65,000 would trigger technical selling. Market drivers shifted toward geopolitics, and in the short term Bitcoin is unlikely to shake off the impact of macro shocks.

In 2026, tensions in the Middle East led Americans to face an economic burden, with the cost of military operations ranging from $30 billion to $45 billion, increasing spending by about $2.5 to $3.8 per person per day. Oil prices rose due to the conflict, driving up household fuel and living costs, intensifying inflation pressure, and affecting interest rates and financial markets, which could trigger greater risks.

Grayscale Investments has filed a revised S-1 form, planning to convert the Bittensor trust into an ETF, involving the TAO token. If approved, it would be listed on the New York Stock Exchange, boosting liquidity and transparency and attracting more institutional investors. This move reflects growing interest in the decentralized AI space, and it also means institutional capital is looking for new investment opportunities.

With expectations of a easing in the Middle East situation, Asian stock markets moved higher across the board, and falling oil prices eased market tensions. Despite pressure on crypto-related stocks on trading platforms, Bitcoin mining stocks performed strongly, indicating a trend of capital being reallocated. The market remains cautious about geopolitical developments and the outlook will be shaped by multiple factors.

Key Insights: XRP trades about 60% below its peak despite steady ETF inflows, reflecting a gap between improving fundamentals and current market valuation levels. Institutional exposure through XRP ETFs reached 1.1 billion dollars, yet analysts say inflow scale remains too small to

Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf is strengthening communication with U.S. audiences on social media, using fluid English to address economic and energy topics and demonstrating a targeted dissemination strategy. His messaging is closely tied to Western media coverage, underscoring the importance of information warfare in geopolitical games, and it could directly affect market sentiment and asset prices.

In March 2026, gold prices saw a sharp 12% pullback, prompting the market to reassess its structural risks. Goldman Sachs analysts said that trading was driven by margin imbalances and intensifying geopolitical conflicts, leading traders to close positions and sell off gold. Despite increased short-term volatility, institutions remain optimistic about gold’s medium- to long-term outlook, forecasting that the price could reach $5,400 by year-end. Future trends will be influenced by the strength of the U.S. dollar and the state of the global economy.

Global oil markets are becoming increasingly divided. The spread between Brent crude spot and futures prices has widened to $34, and physical oil prices have risen to $141.37—the highest level since 2008—indicating supply tightness. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has affected tanker shipping, reducing daily output and causing spot premiums to rise, with market sentiment and expected volatility strengthening. Increased policy uncertainty has amplified market turmoil, and future price direction depends on developments in the Middle East.

Tom Zschach, SWIFT's chief innovation officer, resigns, citing a "trust gap" in financial tech that hinders AI and asset tokenization. He plans to work with scientists and entrepreneurs to address these issues.

Warren Buffett, the legendary investor and chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, said in a CNBC interview this week that his firm purchased approximately $17 billion in US Treasury bills at the latest auction. Is a stock market crash coming and what does it mean for Bitcoin (BTC)? Key takeaways: Berk

Digital asset ETPs saw a peak of over $250B, ending 2025 with $184B AUM, mainly driven by Bitcoin products. The market is evolving, with over 125 new filings indicating a trend toward diversified asset offerings.

U.S. government job openings fell to 701,000 in February, the second-lowest level since December 2020. Layoffs at private companies are intensifying, consumer confidence is weakening, and it reflects an underperforming labor market that could foreshadow a rise in the unemployment rate.

Blockchain analytics platform Artemis’ data shows that the 30-day rolling trading volume of stablecoins reached $7.2 trillion in February, for the first time surpassing the $6.8 trillion of the U.S. ACH network. This milestone is the result of the stablecoin market’s rapid growth over the past six years, suggesting it may break through $2 trillion under future regulatory support. The characteristics of stablecoins allow them to operate globally 24/7, highlighting a fundamental difference from traditional payment systems.

Recent reports suggest that Satoshi Nakamoto's dormant Bitcoin wallets may attract hackers, raising concerns about the catastrophic economic impact if quantum hacking occurs. With 1.1 million BTC at stake, the cryptocurrency community faces challenges in making the Bitcoin network quantum-proof and managing these coins.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warns that tokenized finance is reshaping global markets, but its automated and real-time settlement features could trigger systemic risks. The market value of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) has already exceeded $27.5 billion, driven primarily by U.S. Treasury bonds. The IMF is concerned that automation could amplify market turbulence, and notes that competition from stablecoins, CBDCs, and so on may lead to fragmentation of the financial system, requiring a reassessment of the regulatory framework to balance innovation and stability.