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While Solana ETFs are breaking records, the risk of the price falling below $155 is increasing.
Spot Solana ETFs saw record weekly inflows exceeding $400 million, while the SOL price broke its 211-day trend and began a sharp decline.
Spot Solana ETFs started strong with weekly inflows exceeding $400 million.
SOL broke its 211-day uptrend and fell below key moving averages.
A failure to maintain $155 could send the SOL price into the $120–$100 range.
Spot Solana exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have started their trading journey strongly, recording record positive inflows, highlighting institutional demand for the network's native presence.
On Monday, spot SOL ETFs saw daily inflows of $70 million, the strongest since launch, bringing total spot ETF inflows since its October 28 debut to $269 million.
Data showed that the two Solana ETFs collectively attracted $199.2 million in net inflows in their first week.
Globally, weekly net inflows into Solana ETFs exceeded $400 million, the second-highest weekly inflow on record.
Total Solana ETP AUM currently stands at $4.37 billion, with US-listed products accounting for the majority of new investment. They estimate that $1 billion in net inflows could potentially translate to a 34% increase in the price of SOL, assuming a beta sensitivity of 1.5.
Solana price breaks critical downtrend: Could it fall another 20%?
Despite record inflows, SOL's price action turned sharply lower this week, falling over 16% to $148.11 on Tuesday. This was the lowest level since July 9. The correction also broke a 211-day uptrend that began on April 7, with $95 serving as a yearly low.
Solana is currently testing a daily order block between $170 and $156. This area has limited support. The decline pushed the price below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs, signaling potential bearish confirmation on the daily chart.
With liquidity bottoms being tested around $155, SOL could stage a mean-reversion recovery if buyers defend this area, especially as the relative strength index (RSI) falls to its lowest level since March 2025.
However, acceptance below $160 and failure to maintain $155 could lead to a deeper correction phase, with the next downside target between $120 and $100, unless a short-term recovery materializes soon.