CryptosBatman

You might be wondering why I pay attention to macro events. Let me explain:
The closing of the Strait of Hormuz is not just a geopolitical event, it has broader economic consequences.
With 20% of global oil and 25% of global gas transiting through a now-closed strait, the outcome is straightforward: supply shortage, driving energy prices higher.
Rising oil prices are a primary trigger for broader commodity inflation. This is exactly what drove the elevated inflation of 2021–2022, sparked by the supply disruption from the Russia-Ukraine war.
For Bitcoin investors, this matters. Rising prices me

It may be time for capital to start rotating back from gold into Bitcoin.
The BTC/GOLD chart has returned to bear market levels, and the RSI is confirming this bottom, sitting at the trendline that marked the bear market lows in both 2019 and 2022.
Price is discounted, RSI is deep in oversold territory. Exact same setup. Won't be surprised if the result is the same as well.

$ETH is forming a nice bullish pennant pattern here.
It still fails to break above its bearish trendline, but this could lead to another bounce lower for a buy on weakness setup, before a bigger breakout.
Let's see how this plays out.

The conflict is escalating further.
Iran officially closed the Strait of Hormuz on March 2nd, bringing one of the world's most critical energy chokepoints into play.
Roughly 20% of global oil supply passes through that waterway, so oil prices are going to skyrocket further, along with other commodity prices.
If you have energy stocks in your portfolio, this could work in your favor, as it's looking like a commodity cycle once again, driven by supply shortage.

$H continues to respect the $0.1 support level, and is currently ranging between $0.1-0.152, with a current price of $0.125.
If you're looking to enter, either wait for another retest around $0.1, or for a confirmed breakout and successful retest of $0.152 as new support.

While Bitcoin was dumping and consolidating, with most people expecting a new lower low between February 24th and March 1st, ETF giants were quietly accumulating nearly $1 billion worth of $BTC
And what happened after? Yesterday, Bitcoin pumped hard, with $458 million of net inflows recorded in a single day.
That's how money moves before price does.
So remember to track the flow, whether it's through on-chain wallet movements or ETF holdings.

Study the relationship between fiat liquidity and an asset class.
In this case, USDT"s market cap and Bitcoin.
Every time USDT experiences a sharp contraction, or even turns negative in growth, $BTC tends to form a major bottom shortly after.
The clearest example was the 2022 bear market bottom.
Will this signal mark the absolute bottom this time? I don't think so. But historically, it has been enough to trigger a strong recovery bounce.

One indicator investors really need to pay attention to during times like this is the Volatility Index, or better known as the VIX, which essentially acts as a fear gauge for the market.
When the VIX spikes aggressively, like we saw during Covid or the 2025 tariff war, it signals panic and extreme uncertainty.
And when that happens, we usually have much bigger problems on our hands, such as:
- Systemic Uncertainty
- Liquidity Stress
- Economic Transmission
- Confidence Shock
Not every VIX spike leads to a prolonged crisis. Some are short-lived reactions to geopolitical or policy shocks and res

Things are not looking good for $BTC right now.
Price is heavily respecting the bearish trendline, which tells us the bearish trend is still strong.
On top of that, the Stochastic has just formed a death cross, adding more weight to the downside risk.

If you are wondering how gold managed to rally this hard, it's because there is a clear structural shift happening.
A move of this magnitude is not driven by retail, no retail flow could ever push price like that. This is institutional money, banks, and sovereign players on a global scale.
US Treasuries and the dollar are slowly losing their dominance, and gold is stepping in to replace that role.

This might be an early signal of a structural shift.
Recently, $NVDA, one of the biggest blue-chip AI names, is down -6.79%.
At the same time, the Russell 2000, which tracks 2,000 US small-cap companies, is up +3.27%.
It's still too early to draw conclusions, but this kind of divergence often shows money rotating across assets rather than leaving the market entirely.