Lucaa

Everyone is talking about war escalation, but $OIL is telling a different story.

$ETH - The price has rejected at the lost high-timeframe support range I marked in some of my prior PAT Updates, which also aligns with the 2D Bull Market Support Band sitting at $2.18K.
On the mid-term, it seems that since early February the price may be forming a rising wedge, which is concerning.
Because of this, until there are clear confirmations of a durable breakout above this lost high-timeframe support range and above the 2D Bull Market Support Band, I believe the best approach is to remain conservative, cautious, and hedged.
For now, I will remain hedged in order to mitigate the mid-

$BTC - The price of Bitcoin is currently moving down, which is exactly why I emphasized the importance of waiting for clear confirmations before taking a more decisive stance on the low-timeframes, such as scaling out of my hedges and rotating the capital back into my spot holdings.
From the beginning, there was always the risk that this move could end up being just a fakeout, and until there is clear confirmation of a durable breakout, the most likely outcome on the low-timeframes remains further consolidation inside the high-timeframe support range marked in purple, aligning with the 0.786 F

Everyone is talking about Iran bombing Israel, but no one is talking about this:

Funding Rates still nearing negative territories across the board, even with $BTC crossing $71K

Dubai's and South Korea's markets are crashing.
Meanwhile, all the liquidity is flowing into crypto, $SPX, $SILVER, or $GOLD, which are considered safer and more liquid right now.
This is expected in times of local wars, or geopolitical risks.
However, I believe that this is a good sign for the broader markets and a sign of what's coming next.
Generally, if the markets feared this could become a global war, all the liquidity would flow into cash, so the $DXY should rise aggressively.
Instead, we're seeing the complete opposite now, which signals that this either remains a local geopolitical ri

“Iran is bombing Israel”
Meanwhile, the Israelian stock market:

$BTC - Currently targeting the shorts at $71K.
Hopefully this ends up being a sustained rally and not a fakeout. Will share an update tonight.

$BTC - This has truly been a work of art.
Max Fuckery.

$USDT.D - Distribution before reversal to the downside.

$HIMS - Nothing major has changed since my last update.
The price has tapped into the high-timeframe support range I previously highlighted but has shown no clear signs of strength so far.
Because of this, I believe the best approach right now is to wait for clear confirmation, such as the price breaking back above the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong resistance range over the last couple of months.
That would confirm that the bottom is durably in and that the most likely outcome from here is a reversal to the upside rather than further consolidation inside the high-timefra

$ETH - The price has bounced on the low timeframes, however it has still rejected at the lost high-timeframe support range marked in purple, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months and, over the last couple of weeks, a strong rejection point.
Because of this, I still haven’t scaled out of my hedges and remain prepared for further downside until the price manages to durably break back above and reclaim this lost high-timeframe support range.
Until that happens, I remain conservative and cautious with my approach.
Once the price breaks above this range, that will be