Sun_zero

#WeekendMarketAnalysis
Global Market Sentiment: "Technological Wind"
Global markets began 2026 under the shadow of geopolitical risks but with a technological revolution.
AI Dominance: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are breaking records with strong earnings in the AI and semiconductor sectors. The key word for investors is "K-Shaped Recovery": On one side, those growing with technology, on the other, traditional sectors struggling with high costs.
The Fed and ECB adopting a softer tone is easing global liquidity conditions and fueling risk appetite. Spot ETF inflows in the US exceeding $450 million on a weekly basis prove that large funds have switched to "accumulate" mode. The 4 Flagships of the Crypto World
1. Bitcoin (BTC) - Digital Gold's Race to the Top
Status: Accumulating in the 95,000 - 97,000 range.
Analysis: The "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" discussions in the US are keeping demand alive. It is gathering strength before the psychological 100,000 limit.
Strategy: The 88,000 and 91,000 levels are seen as an "anchoring" zone for institutional buyers.
2. Ethereum (ETH) - Alpenglow Update
Status: Strong stance at the 3,300 level.
Analysis: The expectation of the "Alpenglow" upgrade in early 2026 has brought Ethereum back to the forefront not just as a network, but as a global financial layer.
Strategy: The medium-term hold (HODL) strategy remains popular due to the increase in network activity.
3. Solana (SOL) - The King of Speed and dApps
Status: In the 140-150 range, 7.5% weekly performance.
Analysis: The start of AI agents trading on the Solana network is pricing SOL like a "tech stock".
Strategy: A cycle of adding on sharp dips and taking profits on rallies is preferred.
4. Ripple (XRP) - Regulatory Wind
Status: Made a huge jump of 29% weekly, surpassing the 2.00 level.
CME Group's decision to launch XRP futures and expectations of ETF approval made XRP the star of the week.
Strategy: Using "Stop-Loss" is vital as it is in the overbought region.
Global economic summits in the rest of January will either accelerate Bitcoin's journey to 100,000 or bring a short-term "profit-taking" wave.
The market is currently in "Greed" territory. This means the uptrend continues, but corrections could be sharp.
An ideal 2026 portfolio could be structured as follows: 40% major assets (BTC/ETH), 30% trending projects (SOL/XRP), and 30% cash (Stablecoins) to buy on potential dips.
The "don't put all your eggs in one basket" rule has never been more critical. The balance between Gold (security), Technology Stocks (growth), and Cash (opportunity) must be maintained.
The Psychology of Buying at the Bottom: Unlike 2025, pullbacks in crypto and technology are being priced as "buying opportunities" in 2026. However, emotional decisions should be avoided, and purchases should be made gradually. The World Economic Forum and speeches by political leaders, especially in the week of January 20th, could increase volatility. Instead of reacting to sudden movements, it would be healthier to wait for weekly closes.

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#比特币六连涨 Bitcoin Returns to $90,000 but Market Confidence Remains Lacking
Bitcoin price has retaken the $90,000 threshold, but the foundation of this rebound remains fragile. Despite the price recovery, traders overall remain defensive, and the derivatives market has yet to show signs of sustained optimism.
This week, as Bitcoin rebounds, the cryptocurrency derivatives market has almost no clear signals supporting a long-term upward trend. Even though last week’s Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) saw renewed inflows, the overall market structure has not improved in tandem.
The current price increase appears more like a brief respite rather than the start of a new upward cycle. In key areas reflecting market sentiment—perpetual and fixed-term Bitcoin contracts—most trading activity still concentrates on short-term contracts. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), long regarded as an important indicator of institutional investor participation, currently shows weak demand for forward contracts.
Vetle Lunde, Head of Research at K33 Research, noted in a report released on Tuesday that although there are signs of slight improvement in market sentiment, overall caution persists, with investors remaining on the sidelines amid recent gains. The report indicates that spot trading volume, volatility, and derivatives leverage levels are all hovering near lows seen before December last year, with 86% of open interest concentrated in recently expiring contracts.
Meanwhile, funding rates for perpetual contracts remain low, reflecting limited bullish positions and a risk appetite that has yet to significantly warm up.
However, the prolonged selling pressure that persisted into late 2024 reversed in the first few trading days of this year, pushing Bitcoin prices higher. On January 5, Bitcoin ETF recorded its largest single-day net inflow since October 7 of last year, and it was among the top ten largest daily capital inflows since January 1, 2025.
If Bitcoin continues to strengthen, it could reignite futures trading activity on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. As the spread between spot and futures prices widens, basis trading—the strategy of profiting from the price difference—may once again become attractive.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s underperformance relative to gold and stock markets has sparked discussions about the long-term value of cryptocurrencies. Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodities strategist Mike McGlone stated in a report released on Monday that Bitcoin’s volatility has been steadily declining, especially when compared to gold and risk assets, which may indicate that the most explosive phase of the crypto asset has gradually passed.

#BitcoinSix-DayRally
In the first week of January 2026, the cryptocurrency markets are rising from the ashes thanks to the "January Effect" and institutional cash flow. Bitcoin, which started its journey on January 1st, has been showing green candles for 6 consecutive days, bringing the #BitcoinSixDayRally hashtag to the world's trending topics.
The $94,000 Barrier and ETF Power
Bitcoin made a rapid entry into 2026 from the $87,400 levels, surpassing the $94,000 mark in six days. This rise is not just a technical correction, but the result of a deep liquidity wave.
ETF Wind: Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of over $1 billion in just the first days of the year. The net inflow of $697 million recorded on Monday was the highest daily figure seen since October 2025. Macro Triggers: Weak manufacturing data from the US and expectations that the Fed will continue with interest rate cuts have driven investors towards Bitcoin in search of a safe haven. Geopolitical Hedge: Tensions over Venezuela and news of global sanctions have reinforced Bitcoin's role as "digital gold" and a censorship-resistant asset.
The investor profile, wary of a recession in the last quarter of 2025, has changed strategy with this 6-day rally:
Long-Term Holders (HODLers): On-chain data shows that long-term investors are experiencing minimal selling pressure and remain in the "accumulation zone." Institutional Giants: The addition of more than 1,200 BTC by companies led by Michael Saylor in the first week of January proves that the appetite for "buying the dip" on the institutional side has not waned. Individual Investor: With the rise in popularity of rally hashtags on social media, it's observed that sideline cash is starting to enter the market.
How to Behave During the $100,000 Journey?
The market is currently in a "decision phase". Here's the professional strategy to follow during this process:
Resistance and Support Monitoring: The main resistance zone is currently between $95,000 and $98,000. If Bitcoin closes above $95,000 weekly, the psychological barrier of $100,000 could be reached before the end of January.
Gradual Profit Taking: Sharp rises often bring short-term corrections. Taking some profit around $98,000 can protect the portfolio against a potential "bull trap". Altcoin Rotation: While Bitcoin dominance is prominent in this rally, movements in major projects like Ethereum ($3,300) and Solana suggest that money may soon shift to altcoins. Important Note: The $90,000 level is currently our strongest support point. A close below this level could break the momentum of the 6-day rally.