CryptoPhineas
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2026 Market Outlook — A Review of Investment Opportunities for Next Year
Let's start with the main points.
The opportunities in China's stock market will be limited next year; the index has already peaked, and only a few sectors may experience a rally. Most other sectors will likely fluctuate at high levels.
The US stock bull market could last until around Q3 next year before reaching a phase top, providing quite a few opportunities.
In commodities, gold could reach a maximum of 4700; other non-ferrous metals are in the process of hitting their peaks and are probably expected to top out in Q1
BTC-1.39%
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Precious metals'狂暴 bull market beyond imagination
Gold: Don't speak of a top lightly.
Silver: Gold never admits a top; whoever dares is brave.
Shanghai Copper: Has reached a new high; the sky's the limit.
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The only current era dividend is maintaining good health. Because now, what people are competing for is not work, not houses and cars, but a good mindset and deep sleep.
While everyone is rolling in the quagmire of information overload, anxiety, and insomnia, being able to eat well, sleep soundly, stay emotionally stable, and have abundant energy is itself a form of a dimensionality reduction attack. Your body is the most hardcore productive asset and safety asset in this era.
There is also a more critical reason: the lifespan dividend brought by technological explosion is only reserved for th
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Seeing the current state of the crypto world turning into a pile of dog shit, I suddenly remembered the leaked recording from 2018 where Li Xiaolai said, “Regulation is meant to protect retail investors. Many retail investors think regulation is there to harm them. If this circle had regulation, we wouldn’t dare to recklessly cut leeks.” Thinking about it, that makes sense. In 2023, during the Biden administration, although there was continued crackdown on cryptocurrencies, the industry was still developing normally, and project teams of altcoins were actually working on real projects. Everyon
LADYS0.75%
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The economic miracle of China over the past few decades actually boils down to two things.
First, exporting production capacity worldwide to earn money from developed countries.
Second, leveraging the entire population in real estate to earn the future thirty years' income of ordinary people, which has now been spent.
This is the true prosperity seen over the past few decades.
But it is also an inevitable and unsustainable prosperity.
After all, you cannot become the sole supplier of the whole world, and the purpose of globalization is not for one country to monopolize global supply. This is u
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The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut is completely within expectations.
Summary of Powell’s speech:
1. This round of rate cuts has ended, and there will be a pause afterward, similar to the three rate cuts at the end of 2024.
2. The entire rate-cut cycle has not ended; at least no one is considering a rate hike.
3. Looking at non-farm payrolls, the real data is roughly around -20,000 per month. Due to statistical and modeling reasons, non-farm payrolls do not truly reflect reality.
4. Buying short-term bonds is to ensure sufficient liquidity, thereby maintaining interest rates.
The ab
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SailorSambavip:
Currently, there is widespread wailing outside, believing we have entered a bear market, but I hope that, as you said, the first quarter of 26 can bring a good outcome.
$ETH When ETH is strong, altcoins are also supposed to be strong according to normal logic. So why do altcoins still look like they are dead?
ETH-0.54%
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SailorSambavip:
What is the daughter of the older uncle called the wife of the younger uncle? Currently, it seems that only Gemini is correct. This is the test result!
Revisiting the Bitcoin White Paper
In recent days, I rediscovered a familiar PDF file: the Bitcoin White Paper. Not to speculate on coins, nor to review the market trends, but to once again experience the design journey of this system.
"That author from 16 years ago had a thinking logic far deeper than ours in the 2020s."
As early as 2008, when feature phones still dominated the mobile market and payments relied on U-shields and verification codes, Satoshi Nakamoto wrote a document outlining:
1️⃣ A global payment settlement system that doesn't rely on any central authority;
2️⃣ A trust mechani
BTC-1.39%
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In a few hours, the FOMC results will be announced. The market currently largely considers a 25bp rate cut as a given, and in fact, this expectation has already been priced in. The real uncertainties remaining are actually twofold— the stance of the dot plot and Powell’s statements. At this stage, making a directional move is similar to gambling on size; if you get the direction right, it's satisfying, but if wrong, you get swept away. The initiative is actually in your own hands—you can either stay completely flat and wait for things to settle, or preemptively close positions to capitalize on
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BraveTheWindAndWavesvip:
Volatility is an opportunity 📊
When will China’s next upward cycle of national fortune begin? And how long will it last?
This is not fortune-telling, but rather an attempt to find the “potentially historically chosen window” by analyzing historical patterns, structural conditions, and current realities.
My prediction (combining current realities and structural variables) is:
The next upward cycle of China’s national fortune could start as early as 2026-2027,
with the real takeoff occurring between 2028-2030,
and, if all goes well, it could last until around 2040.
Why this prediction? (Core variable analysis)
1. The shift fr
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AllInstantNoodlesvip:
Brother Jiu, is Polkadot still saved?
You shouldn't study $ETH 's technical upgrades and degree of decentralization too deeply—the deeper you research, the more you'll want to go all in, which is a very scary thing.
ETH-0.54%
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The next innovation boom in the cryptocurrency industry will definitely be in RWA.
The DeFi track in the crypto space has basically reached its peak, having produced phenomenal products like $AAVE , which, as the largest blockchain bank, is now mature.
People have played around in the MEME track only to find that most are scams—when the hype fades, there's nothing left, and only a very few MEME coins manage to survive.
The L2 narrative has been disproved; after Ethereum’s upgrade, there’s really no need for so many L2s. In fact, L2s are just leeching off Ethereum and dragging down $ETH ’s deve
AAVE-2.87%
ETH-0.54%
SOL-2.03%
BNB-1.58%
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Value investing, value reversion, and trend following
Trend following generally refers to technical trend following. I’m not a big fan of this trading method, and in most cases, it’s unlikely to be profitable because it’s easy to falsify. For example, if you use the simplest dual moving average crossover for backtesting, it’s basically dominated by losses.
Moreover, I believe that trend following based on tracking candlestick charts lacks investment logic, because you’re not buying the candlesticks themselves, but rather the assets represented by the candlesticks. In this regard, I’m more in f
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These two doomed projects, $ARB and $OP , probably trapped quite a few people. Looking at the monthly chart, the trend is still downward. From a technical development perspective, isn't L2 just a pseudo-demand? After Ethereum's technical upgrade, there really won't be a need for so many L2s. Friends who are stuck holding these two coins, it's time to wake up and stop fantasizing. However, after a significant drop, there will always be some rebound. If ARB rebounds to around 0.5 and OP rebounds to around 0.7, those are good opportunities to exit—don't get trapped even deeper, or it will be pai
ARB-3.88%
OP-4.68%
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BraveTheWindAndWavesvip:
Getting lower and lower
Although silver's all-time high came two months later, the direction was still correct. I only bought a small position in silver for fun, unlike gold where I invested several hundred in funds.
After gold hit a new high, silver once again reached a historic high. After years of stagnation, silver has entered a bull market cycle.
Just as I anticipated and mentioned to everyone in the plaza before, I remain fully bullish on both gold and silver, giving silver the opportunity to reach a new all-time high. Silver has become the most outstanding major asset this year.
Don’t limit your investment vis
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GoodLuckAndEverythingvip:
Hop on board!🚗
Lan Zhanfei was kidnapped in South Africa. The kidnappers bribed airport and hotel staff six months in advance and monitored his itinerary. After a fake fan invitation was refused, they held him at knifepoint in his hotel for 4-5 hours, extorted money via transfer, and collected his biometric information (hair, semen) to threaten to fabricate a "rape case." Even after escaping a taxi trap, Lan Zhanfei was still followed and eventually reported to the police back in China.
What's curious is, how did they collect the semen? Did they masturbate him? Is it even possible to get hard in that situati
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Let me briefly share my reference for gold prices. After all, I personally hold a few million in gold positions. My approach is mainly based on my own observation method using star lines—I don’t follow the news; it’s just a rough cycle deduction. Don’t take this as direct trading advice, as I don’t track gold daily for updates.
If we consider the sideways movement of gold in 2020 as an accumulation phase (like pulling a bow), projecting forward, the targets I see for March–April 2024 are around 4370 and 4737. The current price has already reached a relatively high level, and new time pivot poi
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$TRUMP coin has no chance at all in this bull run. If Trump can make it through the midterm elections and is still president in 2027-2028, then Trump coin will be the hottest meme in the next bull market.
There are several reasons:
1. The bear market will continue to fall, thoroughly shaking out weak hands and driving the price down to a very low level, for example, $0.5, which is another 10x drop from the current price.
2. The token is not fully unlocked yet, so there’s no incentive for a price pump. It will take another two years for the tokens to be fully unlocked, allowing the whales to f
TRUMP-1.81%
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囤主流享自由vip:
See you in the next bull market, remember 2025/10/9.
The Fundamentals, News, and Technical Aspects in Trading
I believe that fundamentals and technicals are two sides of the same coin; essentially, they are one and the same. If the fundamentals are very strong—for example, if the project is performing exceptionally well—then the technicals will reflect this through a consistently rising long-term moving average, spiraling upward. Before trading, you must thoroughly research the asset you’re trading to determine what it truly is and whether it has long-term value. If the fundamentals are lacking, then the entire technical analysis becomes invalid
TON-2.54%
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$BTC is a highly rhythmic coin. If you follow its rhythm, everything feels smooth and easy; if you miss the beat, you’re left feeling played. On the weekly chart, it’s clear that it’s following its own playbook: after the trendline was smashed through, it immediately rebounded and closed bullish as soon as it touched the long-term trendline below. But right after that, the next week gave a doji, clearly showing that both sides are really clashing hard at this level.
So in the short term, the overall direction still leans toward a rebound, but you need to watch out: this doji could also mean t
BTC-1.39%
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